Bonds look attractive as Investors expect the Feds to cut interest rates
Investors expect the Feds to lower interest rates as a response to the trade war with China. Lower interest rates would stimulate stock market growth after the US stock market suffered losses from tariffs so the Feds would most likely decrease the interest rates to combat the effects of the tariffs and to help the stock market bounce back from their losses.
Lower interest rates would also mean that buying bonds right now would cause their value to increase because of their high interest payments compared to the lower interest rate payments in the future from lower interest rates. If the the Feds were going to increase interest rates, then bonds with lower interest rates would have lower values than the bonds from the soon-to-be higher interest rates because the lower interest rate bonds have less return than the higher interest rate bonds.
As a result, right now would be the best time to buy bonds while the interest rates are still high because the will provide a higher interest rates when the interest rates are lowered.
Lower interest rates would also mean that buying bonds right now would cause their value to increase because of their high interest payments compared to the lower interest rate payments in the future from lower interest rates. If the the Feds were going to increase interest rates, then bonds with lower interest rates would have lower values than the bonds from the soon-to-be higher interest rates because the lower interest rate bonds have less return than the higher interest rate bonds.
As a result, right now would be the best time to buy bonds while the interest rates are still high because the will provide a higher interest rates when the interest rates are lowered.
This is really interesting. Thanks
ReplyDelete